VETTR uses machine learning to predict which tokens are likely to hit 2x. Our AI model has been trained on 4,400+ historical tokens and uses 51 proprietary features to assign a confidence score to each signal.
Based on this score, some signals receive a tier label indicating our AI's confidence level. These labels help you focus on the highest-probability opportunities.
Key Insight: Labeled picks have a 77.4% success rate vs 30.6% for unlabeled picks. That's a +47 percentage point improvement from the ML model.
The Three Tiers
Score Range: 0.85 - 1.00 (Top tier signals)
What It Means
Diamond picks represent the highest confidence our AI can assign. These tokens have all the right signals: strong creator history, smart wallet involvement, solid fundamentals, and low rug risk.
When You See Diamond
- ✅ Very high probability of hitting 2x (90.8%)
- ✅ Excellent risk/reward ratio
- ✅ Prioritize these over other signals
- ⚠️ Still check rug risk and liquidity yourself
Real Examples (Recent Wins)
💎 $LION — Hit 109x
ML Score: 0.85
Smart Wallet: Elite tier detected
Creator: 12/15 successful (80%)
Result: 109x peak
Score Range: 0.60 - 0.84 (High confidence signals)
What It Means
Gold picks have strong fundamentals but may be missing one or two ideal characteristics. Still well above baseline success rates.
When You See Gold
- ✅ High probability of hitting 2x (80.2%)
- ✅ Good risk/reward (3 in 4 succeed)
- ✅ Secondary priority after Diamond
- ⚠️ Review creator history and rug risk carefully
Real Examples
⭐ $SIGN — Hit 16.5x
ML Score: 0.67
Creator: New deployer (first launch)
Holder Quality: Top 10 concentrated 18%
Result: 16.5x peak
Score Range: 0.50 - 0.59 (Above baseline signals)
What It Means
Verified picks meet the minimum threshold for ML labeling. Better than random but not as strong as higher tiers.
When You See Verified
- ✅ Above-average probability (68.6% vs 37.7% baseline)
- ⚠️ More risk than Diamond/Gold (2 in 5 may fail)
- ⚠️ Lowest priority of labeled signals
- ⚠️ Do extra due diligence
Real Examples
✅ $littleguy — Hit 46.5x
ML Score: 0.54
Creator: 3/8 successful (38%)
Volume: High initial activity
Result: 46.5x peak
Unlabeled Signals
Most signals (88%) don't receive a tier label because their ML score is below 0.50. These signals:
- Have a 30.6% success rate (baseline)
- Are still filtered for basic quality (liquidity, authorities, etc.)
- Can still succeed, but odds are lower
- Should be treated as high-risk opportunities
Important: Even unlabeled signals beat random picks. VETTR's filtering alone improves your odds. But for best results, focus on labeled picks.
Comparison Table
| Tier |
Score Range |
Success Rate |
Frequency |
Risk Level |
| 💎 Diamond |
0.85 - 1.00 |
90.8% |
~7% of signals |
Very Low |
| 🥇 Gold |
0.60 - 0.84 |
80.2% |
~11% of signals |
Low |
| ✅ Verified |
0.50 - 0.59 |
68.6% |
~19% of signals |
Medium |
| (No label) |
< 0.50 |
37.7% |
~63% of signals |
High |
How to Use the Tiers
1. Prioritize by Tier
Focus your attention and capital on higher-tier signals:
- Diamond: Primary targets, higher position sizes
- Gold: Secondary targets, moderate positions
- Verified: Tertiary targets, small positions
- Unlabeled: Optional, very small positions or skip
2. Combine with Other Signals
Tiers don't replace due diligence. Always check:
- 🚨 Rug Risk score (aim for LOW or MEDIUM)
- 💧 Liquidity (minimum $5K, ideally $10K+)
- 👤 Creator History (look for high success rates)
- 🐋 Holder Distribution (avoid heavy concentration)
- 📊 Volume Analysis (check for organic activity)
3. Set Realistic Expectations
Even Diamond picks can fail (4.7% failure rate). Practice good risk management:
- Never invest more than you can afford to lose
- Diversify across multiple signals
- Set stop losses (e.g., exit if down 30%)
- Take profits at 2x, 5x, 10x milestones
Pro Tip: Focus on Diamond picks exclusively if you're risk-averse. Gold and Verified tiers are for more aggressive traders who want higher volume of opportunities.
Understanding the ML Model
What the Model Evaluates (High-Level)
Our proprietary model analyzes 51 features across these categories:
- Creator Reputation (27% feature importance) — Historical success rate, rug rate, average peak performance
- Smart Wallet Tracking (17% importance) — Presence of elite wallets, their track records
- On-Chain Metrics — Holder distribution, LP locks, mint/freeze authorities
- Market Dynamics — Initial liquidity, volume patterns, buy/sell ratios
- Security Factors — Bundle detection, top holder concentration, contract risks
Specific features and weights are proprietary to maintain our competitive advantage.
Model Performance
- Algorithm: XGBoost (gradient boosting)
- Training Data: 4,400+ historical tokens
- Overall Accuracy: 69.6%
- AUC-ROC: 0.753 (strong discriminative power)
- Auto-Retraining: Every 50 new tokens or 7 days
What "Success" Means
A token is considered "successful" if it reaches 2.0x from our entry signal at any point. This is our baseline threshold because:
- 2x is achievable (not unrealistic like 100x)
- 2x provides good risk/reward for most traders
- Easy to measure and validate objectively
Note: Many successful tokens go far beyond 2x (10x, 50x, 100x+). The model predicts the 2x threshold, not peak performance.
Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. The model's accuracy may vary based on market conditions, new scam techniques, and other factors. Always DYOR.
Summary
- 💎 Diamond (90.8% success): Highest confidence, primary targets
- 🥇 Gold (80.2% success): High confidence, secondary targets
- ✅ Verified (68.6% success): Above baseline, tertiary targets
- 📊 Labeled picks beat baseline by +47pp
- 🎯 Focus on tiers + due diligence for best results